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A Nuclear EMP attack on Iran might be the only option left for Israel.

Israel now finds itself being slowly painted into a corner.  The negotiations that ended last week between Iran and the 5 + 1 nations (the permanent UN Security Council members: Britain, China, France, Russia, the United States plus Germany), simply resulted in a plan to talk, talk, talk and then talk again in Moscow on June 19th.

“For Israel, every day spent talking, is one day that Iran moves closer to assembling a nuclear weapon.”

The discussions are going quite well for Iran.  The longer they can hold off any real decisions from the 5 + 1 nations, the more time they purchase for their nuclear weapon program.  Iran justifiably believes that the longer they can prolong these negotiations, the less they have to fear from an attack from Israel or the United States.

Sadly, Israel must now begin to accept that there will not be a U.S. coordinated conventional military strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities.  There is zero willingness from the Obama administration to become involved in another Middle-East conflict prior to the November, 2012, presidential elections.  The prevailing sentiment from the Obama administration and America’s main-stream-media indicates that the United States just might be willing to deal with a nuclear armed Iran.

“Of course, American politicians are much further away from Iran than is Israel.”

The recent disclosure by the IAEA (International Atomic Energy Administration) that Iran’s uranium enrichment measurement of 27% strongly indicates that Iran has proceeded well beyond their newly proclaimed nuclear enrichment goal of 20%. Actually, an atmospheric measurement of 27% uranium enrichment is a measurement of the average detectable uranium in the air at the nuclear material production site. This indicates uranium enrichment well above 27%.  Just a couple of years ago Iran declared they would only enrich uranium to 3.5%.

“The Iranians are well on their way to producing uranium that can only be intended for use in nuclear weapons.”

The idea that Israel can mount an effective air assault on Iran lasting several weeks without the support of the United States is, at best, wishful-thinking.  A conventional air assault by Israel on the highly defended Iranian Nuclear Facilities would require several weeks of sorties by multiple squadrons of Israel’s elite aviators.  It is doubtful that the results would be equal to the cost.

At the onset of an air assault upon Iran by Israel, most neighbors of Israel will renew age-old hostilities. A re-armed Hezbollah in Lebanon would no doubt renew missile attacks onto northern and central Israel. Syria would willingly appreciate the distraction from killing its own citizens and turn its population against Israel. And, a newly destabilized and radicalized Islamist Egypt would spring to the call of a new jihad against Israel.

“If it were just the next-door neighbors that Israel needed to worry about, a conventional air assault against Iran just might be managed by Israel alone.”

Unfortunately, the Russians will not sit idly by while Iran gets hammered by the Israelis. Not only are the Iranians (and the Syrians) allies of Russia, the Russians have been quite vocal about NATO sticking its nose into nations where it doesn’t belong.

Let’s not forget that Russia’s Putin and Medvedev were very loud with their objections to NATO’s air support of the Libyan Islamist overthrow of Muammar Gaddafi’s government.  They were offended that NATO would assist a Radical Islamist movement in the overthrow of a legitimate, United Nation’s recognized government.

In late 2011, as the Syrian Islamist anti-government uprising began to gather international attention, the Russians began tactical and strategic maneuvers which would ensure that they would be a major decision maker in what might happen in Syria or, more important, to Syria.

The Syrians now garrison Moscow’s growing Mediterranean fleet in their port of Tartus. The Mig 29’s that were dispatched to Syrian Military Bases from the decks of the Russian Aircraft Carrier “Admiral Kuznetsov” in January, 2012, continue to provide air cover over Syrian cities in support of the Assad Regime’s crack-down on the Islamist anti-government forces.  The country of Syria is located between Israel and Iran.  In order for Israel to fly directly to Iran, they must fly over Syria.  The Russian presence in Syria will continue to complicate any Israeli response to the Iranian Nuclear Development Program.

Without United States assistance, an Israeli air assault on Iranian Nuclear Facilities using conventional bunker busting bombs would stretch Israel’s logistics beyond their ability to continue the campaign to a successful conclusion.

“Iran has prepared for this war for thirty-three years.”

Iran’s nuclear production facilities are designed to withstand conventional bombing from aircraft.  It is now strongly suspected that many of the Iranian Nuclear Development Facilities have been built underground at depths beyond the reach of advanced conventional weapons such as “Bunker-Busting” missiles or bombs.

”Israel has never admitted that they possess nuclear weapons.”

Assuming that they actually have an adequate number of nuclear weapons, Israel could attack each of Iran’s numerous hardened nuclear facilities with ground detonation nuclear warheads.  The result from this nuclear attack would be the total destruction of each Iranian production facility.  Unfortunately, this option would also result in massive human, environmental and atmospheric devastation.  Not to mention the world-wide condemnation that would be leveled against Israel following such an attack.

“There is another option for Israel.”

It has long been accepted that they possess nuclear tipped ballistic missiles.  The Israelis are technologically adept and it would not be difficult for them to configure a nuclear warhead enhanced to deliver a devastating EMP (ElectroMagnetic Pulse) to the regions of Iran involved in nuclear development.

If detonated at the proper altitude above Iran, the pulse would largely affect only those areas of Iran where nuclear development facilities were located.  An unfortunate side-effect of the EMP attack is that it would knock-out the entire Iranian electric grid.

“Iran would be left without electric power.”

A high-altitude nuclear EMP (HEMP) attack over Iran would produce no immediate human casualties, no radiation sickness, and no blast damage.  It would leave no dramatic physical evidence that a nuclear attack had occurred.

“Israel could claim, No Human Harm.”

Yet, the future of Iranian nuclear weapon development would, thankfully, be eliminated for a very, very long time.  The Iranian population, in the meantime, would be left without electricity.  No power to their nuclear facilities, no power to their factories, no power to their cities and, of course, no electric power into the households of Iran.

“Iran would be EMP’d back into the industrial equivalent of the mid – 1800′s.”

Eventually, with massive international assistance, millions of Iranians would be saved from the famine which would certainly result from the total elimination of electricity from a modern society.

“The EMP option may be the proper response to a nuclear armed Iran.”

Remember, three strategically placed nuclear strikes within the nation of Israel would eliminate most of the population of Israel.

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